Financial Management AFIN253


Tutorial 8, Week 9

Homework questions.

Question 286  bill pricing

A 30-day Bank Accepted Bill has a face value of $1,000,000. The interest rate is 2.5% pa and there are 365 days in the year. What is its price now?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

###\begin{aligned} P_\text{0, bill} =& \frac{F_d}{1 + r_\text{simple} \times \frac{d}{365}} \\ =& \frac{1,000,000}{1 + 0.025 \times \frac{30}{365}} \\ =& 997,949.419 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 287  bond pricing

A 30 year Japanese government bond was just issued at par with a yield of 1.7% pa. The fixed coupon payments are semi-annual. The bond has a face value of $100.

Six months later, just after the first coupon is paid, the yield of the bond increases to 2% pa. What is the bond's new price?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

When pricing bonds or stocks or any asset, the future cash flows and discount rates are the only things that are important. So the 2% yield is the discount rate and there are 29.5 years left which is 59 six-month periods. Note that since the bond was issued at par, its initial yield and coupon rate must have been equal. Since it's a fixed coupon bond, the coupon rate will never change so it will still be 1.7% into the future.

Using the bond price equation:

###\begin{aligned} p_\text{0, bond} &= \text{PV(annuity of coupons)} + \text{PV(face value)} \\ &= \text{coupon} \times \frac{1}{r_\text{eff}}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff})^{T}} \right) + \frac{\text{face}}{(1+r_\text{eff})^{T}} \\ &= \frac{100 \times 0.017}{2} \times \frac{1}{0.02/2}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+0.02/2)^{2 \times 29.5}} \right) + \frac{100}{(1+0.02/2)^{2 \times 29.5}} \\ &= 0.85 \times 44.4045887902863 + 55.5954112097137 \\ &= 37.7439004717433 + 55.5954112097137 \\ &= 93.3393116814571 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 288  Annuity

There are many ways to write the ordinary annuity formula.

Which of the following is NOT equal to the ordinary annuity formula?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

All answers are mathematically equivalent except (e).


Question 289  DDM, expected and historical returns, ROE

In the dividend discount model:

###P_0 = \dfrac{C_1}{r-g}###

The return ##r## is supposed to be the:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Future cash flows and returns are important.

Owners of assets such as shares are entitled to the future cash flows only, not the past cash flows which have already been paid. This is why asset prices are the present value of future cash flows.

To calculate the present value of future dividends, the dividend discount model must use the future expected return ##r## and growth rate ##g## of the market price of equity.

Of course the future is impossible to predict. Often the best guide to the future is the past, so in practice the actual historical return and growth rate are used as a proxy for what's expected in the future.

Market prices are important.

In finance, current market prices are always more important and relevant than old historical cost book prices. The market price of a share is the price that it trades for every day on the stock exchange. It's the price that a buyer will actually pay to buy the share.

When the share was first bought, the market price and book price were the same. But after that, the book price never changes while the market price goes up and down every day. Therefore the book price is old and out of date. Generally it is not the same as the current market price, unless by coincidence.

Owners equity recorded by an accountant in the firm's balance sheet is the sum of the shareholders' equity (also called contributed equity), retained profits and reserves such as asset revaluation reserve. This is often very different to the market price of equity. If the firm has been successful in the past, usually the market price of equity will be much higher than the book price.

Equity returns calculated from book prices are also therefore not very useful to determine value. They reflect the past, not the future. Therefore accounting ratios such as ROE (Net Income/Owners Equity) and ROA (Net Income/Total Assets) are not very useful for pricing stocks. But they are a reasonable guide to past performance.


Question 290  APR, effective rate, debt terminology

Which of the below statements about effective rates and annualised percentage rates (APR's) is NOT correct?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

An APR is a discretely compounding annual rate that compounds multiple times per year.

An APR compounding once per year is an effective annual rate.

An effective rate is also a discretely compounding rate but it compounds only once per period. The time period is not necessarily annual, it can be monthly, daily, two years, or any time.

Therefore answer (c) is incorrect. An effective monthly rate is a monthly rate compounding per month.


Question 291  CFFA

Find Scubar Corporation's Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA), also known as Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF), over the year ending 30th June 2013.

Scubar Corp
Income Statement for
year ending 30th June 2013
  $m
Sales 200
COGS 60
Depreciation 20
Rent expense 11
Interest expense 19
Taxable Income 90
Taxes at 30% 27
Net income 63
 
Scubar Corp
Balance Sheet
as at 30th June 2013 2012
  $m $m
Inventory 60 50
Trade debtors 19 6
Rent paid in advance 3 2
PPE 420 400
Total assets 502 458
 
Trade creditors 10 8
Bond liabilities 200 190
Contributed equity 130 130
Retained profits 162 130
Total L and OE 502 458
 

 

Note: All figures are given in millions of dollars ($m).

The cash flow from assets was:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Using the Cash Flow From Assets Equation,

### CFFA = NI + Depr - CapEx - \Delta NWC + IntExp ###

Capital expenditure (CapEx) can be calculated as the change in Net Fixed Assets (NFA) plus depreciation. Note that NFA is the same thing as the carrying amount of property, plant and equipment (PPE).

###\begin{aligned} CapEx &= PPE_\text{now} - PPE_\text{before} + Depr \\ &= 420 - 400 + 20 \\ &= 40 \\ \end{aligned}###

CapEx is positive, so the firm must have bought more capital assets than it sold.

To find the change in net working capital (##\Delta NWC##), take the difference between the NWC now and before. Note that current assets includes inventory, trade debtors and rent paid in advance. Current liabilities only includes trade creditors in this instance.

###\begin{aligned} \Delta NWC &= CA_\text{now} - CL_\text{now} - (CA_\text{before} - CL_\text{before}) \\ &= (60+19+3-10) - (50+6+2-8) \\ &= 72 - 50 \\ &= 22 \\ \end{aligned}###

Now just substitute the values:

###\begin{aligned} CFFA &= NI + Depr - CapEx - \Delta NWC + IntExp \\ &= 63 + 20 - 40 - 22 + 19 \\ &= 40 \\ \end{aligned}###


Question 292  standard deviation, risk

Find the sample standard deviation of returns using the data in the table:

Stock Returns
Year Return pa  
2008 0.3
2009 0.02
2010 -0.2
2011 0.4
 

The returns above and standard deviations below are given in decimal form.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

To find the standard deviation there are 2 steps. First we need to find the historical average return ##(\bar{r})##, then use the variance formula to find the historical sample variance ##(\hat{\sigma}^2)##and square root it to get a standard deviation ##(\hat{\sigma})##..

###\begin{aligned} \bar{r} &= \frac{r_{0 \rightarrow 1} + r_{1 \rightarrow 2} + r_{2 \rightarrow 3} + ... +r_{T-1 \rightarrow T}}{T} \\ &= \frac{0.3 + 0.02 + -0.2 + 0.4}{4} = 0.13 \\ \end{aligned} ###

###\begin{aligned} \hat{\sigma}^2 &= \dfrac{ \displaystyle\sum\limits_{t=1}^T{\left( \left( r_{(t-1)\rightarrow t} - \bar{r} \right)^2 \right)} }{T-1}\\ &= \frac{\left( \begin{aligned} &{(0.3-0.13)^2} + \\ &{(0.02-0.13)^2} + \\ &{(-0.2-0.13)^2} + \\ &{(0.4-0.13)^2} \\ \end{aligned} \right)\\ }{4-1} \\ &= 0.074266667 \\ \hat{\sigma} &= \left( 0.074266667\right)^{1/2} \\ &= 0.272519112 \\ \end{aligned} ###


Question 293  covariance, correlation, portfolio risk

All things remaining equal, the higher the correlation of returns between two stocks:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

When the correlation between two assets' returns increases, if one stock has a negative return, it is more likely that the other stock will also have a negative return. This means that the asset returns will not cancel each other out as often, so there will be less diversification and greater portfolio variance and volatility (standard deviation).

The higher the correlation, the higher the covariance. This is because the covariance between two stocks' returns is a function of correlation:

### cov(r_A, r_B) = corr(r_A, r_B).std(r_A).std(r_B)###

Or in mathematical notation with Greek symbols: ### \sigma_{A,B} = \rho_{A,B}.\sigma_A.\sigma_B###


Question 294  short selling, portfolio weights

Which of the following statements about short-selling is NOT true?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

An investor who short-sells an asset is 'short' that asset, not long.


Question 295  inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows, NPV

When valuing assets using discounted cash flow (net present value) methods, it is important to consider inflation. To properly deal with inflation:

(I) Discount nominal cash flows by nominal discount rates.

(II) Discount nominal cash flows by real discount rates.

(III) Discount real cash flows by nominal discount rates.

(IV) Discount real cash flows by real discount rates.

Which of the above statements is or are correct?


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Nominal cash flows can be discounted using nominal discount rates. Also, real cash flows can be discounted using real discount rates. Both will give the same asset price.

###C_\text{0} = \dfrac{C_\text{t, nominal}}{(1+r_\text{nominal})^t} = \dfrac{C_\text{t, real}}{(1+r_\text{real})^t}###

If the cash flows are nominal and the discount rate is real or vice-versa, it's usually easier to convert the discount rate to a nominal or real rate using the Fisher equation, and then discount the cash flows to arrive at the correct price.

###1+r_\text{real} = \dfrac{1+r_\text{nominal}}{1+r_\text{inflation}}###

Cash flows can also be converted from nominal to real or vice versa using the inflation rate.

###C_\text{t, real} = \dfrac{C_\text{t, nominal}}{(1+r_\text{inflation})^t}###

Question 296  CFFA, interest tax shield

Which one of the following will decrease net income (NI) but increase cash flow from assets (CFFA) in this year for a tax-paying firm, all else remaining constant?

Remember:

###NI=(Rev-COGS-FC-Depr-IntExp).(1-t_c )### ###CFFA=NI+Depr-CapEx - ΔNWC+IntExp###


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

An increase in IntExp decreases NI and increases CFFA. This is very counter-intuitive, but it's because IntExp reduces taxes since it is subtracted from pre-tax income.

But since IntExp is a 'financing cash flow' which has nothing to do with the cash flow from the assets, it is added back in CFFA, and its only lingering effect is the reduction in taxes.

This is the so-called 'interest tax shield' effect of having debt and therefore interest expense.


Question 297  implicit interest rate in wholesale credit

You just bought $100,000 worth of inventory from a wholesale supplier. You are given the option of paying within 5 days and receiving a 2% discount, or paying the full price within 60 days.

You actually don't have the cash to pay within 5 days, but you could borrow it from the bank (as an overdraft) at 10% pa, given as an effective annual rate.

In 60 days you will have enough money to pay the full cost without having to borrow from the bank.

What is the implicit interest rate charged by the wholesale supplier, given as an effective annual rate? Also, should you borrow from the bank in 5 days to pay the supplier and receive the discount? Or just pay the full price on the last possible date?

Assume that there are 365 days per year.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

The implicit rate discounts the bigger cost on day 60 so that it equals the cheaper cost on day 5. Or another way of looking at it: the implicit rate grows the cheaper cost at day 5 forward to equal the bigger cost at day 60.

Note that we pay on the last day possible whether we want the 2% discount (day 5) or not (day 60) so that we can hang onto our cash for as long as possible and collect extra interest. For example we would not pay on day 40 because we could pay on day 60 and put the cash in the bank to collect interest for those extra 20 days.

### V_{5} = \frac{V_{60}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-5)/365}} ###

But the discount is 2% if paid by ##t=5##, so ###V_{5} = V_{60}(1-0.02)### Substituting into the above, then:

###V_{60}(1-0.02) = \frac{V_{60}}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-5)/365}} ### ###1-0.02 = \frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-5)/365}} ### ###(1+r_\text{eff,annual})^{(60-5)/365} = \frac{1}{1-0.02} ### ###1+r_\text{eff,annual} = \left(\frac{1}{1-0.02}\right)^{365/(60-5)} ###

###\begin{aligned} r_\text{eff,annual} =& \left(\frac{1}{1-0.02}\right)^{365/55} - 1 \\ =& 0.143475733 \\ \end{aligned} ###

So the implicit annual effective rate is 14.3%. By letting us pay later, the wholesaler is effectively giving us a loan. But this loan is not free, since he charges more (since there's no 2% saving) if we pay later. The implicit rate is the effective lending rate that he is granting to us. It is the cost of borrowing from him by paying on day 60 rather than day 5.

If we borrowed using a bank overdraft we'd pay 10% pa which is cheaper than the 14.3% from the wholesaler. Therefore it would be better to borrow from the bank and pay the wholesaler early on day 5.


Question 298  interest only loan

A prospective home buyer can afford to pay $2,000 per month in mortgage loan repayments. The central bank recently lowered its policy rate by 0.25%, and residential home lenders cut their mortgage loan rates from 4.74% to 4.49%.

How much more can the prospective home buyer borrow now that interest rates are 4.49% rather than 4.74%? Give your answer as a proportional increase over the original amount he could borrow (##V_\text{before}##), so:

###\text{Proportional increase} = \frac{V_\text{after}-V_\text{before}}{V_\text{before}} ###

Assume that:

  • Interest rates are expected to be constant over the life of the loan.

  • Loans are interest-only and have a life of 30 years.

  • Mortgage loan payments are made every month in arrears and all interest rates are given as annualised percentage rates compounding per month.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Find the value of each interest-only mortgage loan:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{before} &= \frac{C_\text{1, monthly}}{r_\text{eff mthly} - g_\text{eff mthly}} \\ &= \frac{2,000}{\left( \dfrac{0.0474}{12} - 0 \right)} \\ &= 506,329.1139 \\ \end{aligned}###

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{after} &= \frac{C_\text{1, monthly}}{r_\text{eff mthly} - g_\text{eff mthly}} \\ &= \frac{2,000}{\left( \dfrac{0.0449}{12} - 0 \right)} \\ &= 534,521.1581 \\ \end{aligned}###

###\begin{aligned} \text{Proportional increase} &= \frac{V_\text{after}-V_\text{before}}{V_\text{before}} \\ &= \frac{534,521.1581 - 506,329.1139}{506,329.1139} \\ &= 0.055679287 \\ &\approx 5.6\% \\ \end{aligned}###

Note that the answer is 0.029547 or 2.9547% if the mortgage loans are both fully amortising. Thanks to Shahzada for providing that solution.


Question 299  equivalent annual cash flow

Carlos and Edwin are brothers and they both love Holden Commodore cars.

Carlos likes to buy the latest Holden Commodore car for $40,000 every 4 years as soon as the new model is released. As soon as he buys the new car, he sells the old one on the second hand car market for $20,000. Carlos never has to bother with paying for repairs since his cars are brand new.

Edwin also likes Commodores, but prefers to buy 4-year old cars for $20,000 and keep them for 11 years until the end of their life (new ones last for 15 years in total but the 4-year old ones only last for another 11 years). Then he sells the old car for $2,000 and buys another 4-year old second hand car, and so on.

Every time Edwin buys a second hand 4 year old car he immediately has to spend $1,000 on repairs, and then $1,000 every year after that for the next 10 years. So there are 11 payments in total from when the second hand car is bought at t=0 to the last payment at t=10. One year later (t=11) the old car is at the end of its total 15 year life and can be scrapped for $2,000.

Assuming that Carlos and Edwin maintain their love of Commodores and keep up their habits of buying new ones and second hand ones respectively, how much larger is Carlos' equivalent annual cost of car ownership compared with Edwin's?

The real discount rate is 10% pa. All cash flows are real and are expected to remain constant. Inflation is forecast to be 3% pa. All rates are effective annual. Ignore capital gains tax and tax savings from depreciation since cars are tax-exempt for individuals.


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

This is an equivalent annual cost question. There are two steps, first find the NPV of costs over the life of each car, then spread these costs over the life using the annuity formula to find the equivalent annual cost.

Carlos buys the new car that he keeps for 4 years and Edwin buys the older car which he keeps for 11 years. First find the NPV of the costs of each car.
Note that a revenue is a negative cost. If that's confusing, then find the equivalent annual benefit, so costs are negative and revenues are positive which is arguably more intuitive. The numerical answers will be the same, but the signs will be switched around.

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, Carlos} &= C_0 - \frac{C_4}{(1+0.1)^4} \\ &= 40,000 - \frac{20,000}{(1+0.1)^4} \\ &= 26,339.73089 \\ \end{aligned} ###

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, Edwin} &= C_0 + \frac{C_\text{0,1,...10}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{11}} \right)(1+r)^1 - \frac{C_{11}}{(1+r)^{11}} \\ &= 20,000 + \frac{1,000}{0.1} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{11}} \right)(1+0.1)^1 - \frac{2,000}{(1+0.1)^{11}} \\ &= 26,443.57931 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Now spread the costs over the life of each car using the annuity formula. This will give the 'equivalent annual cost'.

###V_\text{0, Carlos} = \frac{C_\text{EAC Carlos}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) ### ###26,339.73089 = \frac{C_\text{EAC Carlos}}{0.1} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{4}} \right) ### ###C_\text{EAC Carlos} = 8,309.416074 ###

Now for Edwin:

###V_\text{0, Edwin} = \frac{C_\text{EAC Edwin}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{T}} \right) ### ###26,443.57931 = \frac{C_\text{EAC Edwin}}{0.1} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^{11}} \right) ### ###C_\text{EAC Edwin} = 4,071.336556 ###

To find how much larger Carlos' equivalent annual cost is compared with Edwin:

###\begin{aligned} C_\text{difference} &= C_\text{EAC Carlos} - C_\text{EAC Edwin} \\ &= 8,309.416074 - 4,071.336556 \\ &= 4,238.079518 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Therefore Carlos spends $4,238 more than Edwin per year, as an equivalent end-of-year cost.

Question 300  NPV, opportunity cost

What is the net present value (NPV) of undertaking a full-time Australian undergraduate business degree as an Australian citizen? Only include the cash flows over the duration of the degree, ignore any benefits or costs of the degree after it's completed.

Assume the following:

  • The degree takes 3 years to complete and all students pass all subjects.
  • There are 2 semesters per year and 4 subjects per semester.
  • University fees per subject per semester are $1,277, paid at the start of each semester. Fees are expected to remain constant in real terms for the next 3 years.
  • There are 52 weeks per year.
  • The first semester is just about to start (t=0). The first semester lasts for 19 weeks (t=0 to 19).
  • The second semester starts immediately afterwards (t=19) and lasts for another 19 weeks (t=19 to 38).
  • The summer holidays begin after the second semester ends and last for 14 weeks (t=38 to 52). Then the first semester begins the next year, and so on.
  • Working full time at the grocery store instead of studying full-time pays $20/hr and you can work 35 hours per week. Wages are paid at the end of each week and are expected to remain constant in real terms.
  • Full-time students can work full-time during the summer holiday at the grocery store for the same rate of $20/hr for 35 hours per week.
  • The discount rate is 9.8% pa. All rates and cash flows are real. Inflation is expected to be 3% pa. All rates are effective annual.

The NPV of costs from undertaking the university degree is:


Answer: Good choice. You earned $10. Poor choice. You lost $10.

Since most of the cash flows are weekly, it's easier to work with effective weekly rates than annual ones so convert the effective annual rate to an effective weekly rate:

###\begin{aligned} r_\text{eff wkly} &= (1+r_\text{eff yrly})^{1/52}-1 \\ &= (1+0.098)^{1/52}-1 \\ &= 0.001799508 \\ &\approx 0.0018 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Since all discount rates and cash flows are real, there is no need to do any conversions using inflation.

University fees will be ##4 \times $1,277 = $5,108## per semester, paid at t=0 for the first semester and again at t=19 weeks for the second semester.
The present value of university fees for one year is:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, annual fee} &= (\text{First semester cost now}) + \frac{(\text{Second semester cost in 19 weeks})}{(1+0.001799508)^{19}} \\ &= 4 \times 1,277 + \frac{4 \times 1,277}{(1+0.001799508)^{19}} \\ &= 10,044.45768 \\ \end{aligned} ###

But as well as this explicit annual cost there is also the implicit opportunity cost which is that students can't work full-time while they are studying full-time. Students can still work during the summer holidays, but they can't work from t=0 to 38 weeks.
At $20/hr and 35hrs/wk they miss out on $700/wk paid in arrears. The present value of this annual opportunity cost is:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, annual wages foregone} &= \frac{C_\text{wage 1,2,..38}}{r} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^{38}} \right) \\ &= \frac{700}{0.001799508} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.001799508)^{38}} \right) \\ &= 25,688.58368 \\ \end{aligned} ###

Adding up the present value of the annual explicit and implicit costs:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, annual cost} &= V_\text{0, annual fee} + V_\text{0, annual wages foregone} \\ &= 10,044.45768 + 25,688.58368 \\ &= 35,733.04136 \\ \end{aligned} ###

The annual costs are expected to be constant every year, so the present value of the costs over the whole 3 year degree is:

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, 3yr cost} &= \frac{V_\text{0,1,2, annual cost}}{r_\text{eff yrly}} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+r_\text{eff yrly})^{3}} \right)(1+r_\text{eff yrly})^1 \\ &= \frac{35,733.04136}{0.098} \left(1-\frac{1}{(1+0.098)^{3}} \right)(1+0.098)^1 \\ &= $97,915.91465 \\ \end{aligned} ###